Over 95% Chance of Fed Rate Cut!
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The opening of the A-shares market on December 12 marked a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index settling at 3432.28 points, reflecting a minute decrease of just 0.01%. Initially, the market maintained a narrow fluctuation, but a sudden upward surge was observed later onAs the report was being finalized, all three major indices had shifted into positive territory, indicating a potential market recovery.
On the evening of December 11, Eastern Time, the performance of the U.Sstock market was varied among its major indicesInternational oil prices made a notable upward trend, alongside a general increase in international precious metals futures.
In a significant development, Tesla saw its share price reach an unprecedented high, propelling CEO Elon Musk into the spotlight as the world's first person with a fortune exceeding $400 billion.
The Nasdaq Composite Index soared on Wednesday, breaking through the 20,000 point barrier for the first time! This optimism was fueled by the latest U.S
Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November, which aligned with market expectations, paving the way for the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut in their upcoming meeting.
As of this morning, by 11:17 AM, the Shanghai Composite Index registered a slight gain, reported at 3442.94, up by 0.30%, with the Shenzhen Component Index at 10878.71, reflecting a 0.28% rise, and the ChiNext Index at 2277.84, up by a robust 0.72%. The retail sector continued to thrive today, showcasing strong performances in areas such as duty-free shops, seafood, and tourism industry conceptsMeanwhile, media stocks gained traction, particularly those linked to viral trends like Douyin's bean bags, yet sectors like education, steel, and coal exhibited lackluster performance.
On a more crucial note, significant economic data emerged for the U.Sas released by the Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe November CPI showed a year-over-year increase of 2.7%, meeting market expectations after the previous rate of 2.6%. Month-over-month, the CPI rose by 0.3%, up from the prior month's 0.2%, marking the highest level since April of this year, but still aligning with market expectations.
The core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, was reported to have increased by 3.3% year-over-year, consistent with market predictions, while month-over-month figures also reflected a steady increase of 0.3%, aligning precisely with the anticipated figures.
This particular CPI report serves as a pivotal reference for the Federal Reserve ahead of its interest rate meeting scheduled for December 18. Goldman Sachs analyst Whitney Watson commented, “The latest CPI data lay the groundwork for a supported interest rate cut next week
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Following this data release, the Fed will move into a quiet period, but officials maintain confidence in their inflation-fighting effortsWe anticipate that the Fed will gradually ease monetary policy throughout 2025.”
Following the CPI announcement, the CME FedWatch Tool indicated a mere 2.3% likelihood of the Fed maintaining current rates in December, juxtaposed with a staggering 97.7% probability for a 25 basis point cut.
In another headline-making moment, Elon Musk achieved billionaire status beyond $400 billionOn December 11, the three major U.Sstock indices displayed mixed resultsThe Dow Jones plummeted by 0.22%, closing at 44,148.56 points, while the S&P 500 climbed by 0.82%, reaching 6084.19 pointsThe Nasdaq surged by 1.77%, settling at 20,034.89 points, marking a historic milestone as it crossed the 20,000-point mark.
The performance of the U.Stech giants index saw a substantial increase of 2.32%, buoyed especially by Tesla's 5.93% rise, Google’s 5.46% gain, and Nvidia's 3.14% uplift, reinforcing the dominance of these tech behemoths.
This wave of positive market sentiment, fueled by various favorable factors, catapulted Musk to the top of the global wealth rankings, breaking records to become the first individual to amass a fortune surpassing $400 billion
Reports indicate a crucial component propelling his wealth surge was the stock sale activities within SpaceX, coupled with Tesla’s meteoric share price ascent, which contributed to an impressive increase of around $50 billion to his net worth, ultimately reaching a staggering total of approximately $439.2 billion.
On December 10, a prolonged “feud” appeared to continue between Musk and Bill GatesMusk, responding to a tweet on X, remarked, “If Tesla truly becomes the most valuable company globally, these short positions could even bankrupt Bill Gates.” This comment referred to Gates' previous significant short position against Tesla, where he allegedly invested billions aiming to profit from the company's decline.
Lastly, international oil prices reflected an upward trajectory on December 11, with U.SWTI crude for January 2025 contracts rising by 2.61% to reach $70.38 per barrel, while Brent crude for February 2025 increased by 2.01% to $73.64 per barrel